The southern Lebanese have just seen enough pain the past few months to be convinced that Hizballah has no good policy towards them, and are now more anxious after perceiving the likelihood of an upcoming major confrontation with Israel that will rather happen on their soil and, know that they are the ones to pay the price.
So far, the war at this stage is limited in scope, but from all indications no one can predict if it will stop, continue as is, or transforms into a full one.

Doubts and loss of confidence in the party cum militia are timidly creeping into minds, as people witness death and destruction around them and are unable to understand the reason or the necessity of this bloody confrontation with Israel.
A lot of questions are being asked, rebellious social media comments are circulating, but so far, matters have not gone out of Hizballah’s hand as (so called) dissenters and/or traitors, are repressed by many means including, public shaming and threats of violence.

What about the rest of the Lebanese?
Undoudtebly, they are apprehensive and agree that Hizballah action of engaging Israel was an Iranian move and, bears no relation to an Israeli imminent threat to Lebanon.
On the contrary, they now believe that Hizballah has demonstrated clearly that they are the threat to the country by serving Iran interests, blocking the Local political scene and neutralizing the government.

What next? Well it all depends on how the confrontation with Israel ends.
However, regardless of the war’s outcome, Hizballah future in Lebanon is far from clear. It’s argument of defending Lebanon has proven to be false, rather it has become the reason that Israel attacks Lebanon, the reason that created arab apathy and even hatred towards Lebanon. As a reminder, Hizballah is the one that attacked Israel first back in October, a fact that cannot be denied.
A big question about who is going to repair the post war damaged infrastructures and houses. Who is going to compensate farmers and repair their farms? What is Hizballah going to contribute in financial terms?
Indications so far are not encouraging, as they hint to commit the (financially strapped) Lebanese state to undertake the rebuilding damages in the war affected areas. An impossible task for an insolvent government that they are members of and that they have ran aground a while ago.
If they are unable, whether directly or through the Lebanese state, to repair and compensate those war damages, a silent backlash is to be expected that will favour their former political rivals and current political partner Amal, opening the Lebanese political space.

The other political opponents to Hizballah are perceived as weak as they are unable to challenge it directly and this is where most opinions err. Little by little those opponents are gathering broad concensus and, young lebanese have broken the schackle of the religious divide and see their future in a free society.

In a nutshell, Hizballah is now perceived as a liability by a lot of Lebanese.
Can it now remain strong enough to keep its dominance on the Lebanese state?
The first answer will come at the end of the current bout of war. Focus will be on the perception on how it ends (was it a win, a loss or a draw?) and then, whether it can get its selected presidential candidate elected.